Understanding Uncertainty Alexei Gilchrist 2 Probability Maximum Entropy What is meant by “uncertainty”? ❦ 1 An Example: rolling dieUsing rolls of many die, we examine the frequency of various patterns of outcomes that are consistent with a given mean. As the number of rolls gets large the most common pattern is given by the distribution that maximised the entropy, and the multiplicity of the distributions is sharply peaked around this value.To be completed2 Making probabilities more uniformTo be completed3 Entropy limitsA closer look at the limits of entropy and what they imply about the underlying probability distribution.To be completed