Bayesian Inference Q2Q 2017 Alexei Gilchrist A Nexus mindmap Introduction 0 Logic 0 Plausibility 1 Desiderata 2 Product rule 3 Sum rule 4 Probability as extended logic 5 Plausibility reasoning 0 Foundations of probability 2 Probability theory is nothing but common sense reduced to calculus Laplace, 1819 1 Foundations 1 Marginalisation 0 Variables 1 Some consequences of the sum rule 2 Marginalisation 0 Bayes' rule 0 Chaining 1 Some consequences of the product rule 3 Bayes' rule 1 Assigning numbers 2 Numbers that summarise a distribution 0 Summarising 3 Basics 2 Probabilities to graphs 0 Information flow 1 Bayesian networks 7 Monty Hall revisited 0 Monty Hall again 5 Maximum Entropy 6 Exponential process 1 Parameter estimation 0 Least squares solution 0 Fitting a line 2 Parameter estimation 3 Occam's razor 0 Model selection 4 Bayesian Inference Q2Q 2017 Alexei Gilchrist